HOLY CRAP! I heard yesterday that if a certain volcano explodes in the Canary Islands, a three thousand foot wall of water will snuff out all life on the east coast of the U.S. Or did I?
I know that was the thrust of the report, and I hope that this usually reliable news source (NPR) just misspoke, or that I misheard. It only took me a few minutes with Excel and some very rudimentary knowledge of physics to figure out that the wall of water was going to be considerably smaller than three thousand feet high unless the volcano was dropping from space at several hundred miles per second. In fact, the actual estimates are a hundred and fifty feet, which is still an insanely large tsunami, but a full order of magnitude and then some smaller than the report suggested.
I wrote NPR, fuming over the mistake in their report or in my ears, but as I did, I realized that it was just part of a pattern in the media. Science stories are often distorted and misreported. I can't count the number of times that I've heard fantastic whoppers like the "gene for aggression" found in prisoners. The recent snakehead fish insanity in the Potomac River is another good example.
In case you have missed the story, there are now northern snakehead fish in the river, probably refugees from an aquarium, as they are native to China. Now the Maryland DNR is up in arms about the introduction of a nonnative predator to the ecosystem. The press has followed suit, blathering on about it, but I wonder if one intrepid reporter has worked out that the DNR itself made a few introductions. No, not the snakeheads, but walleye and some damn fish called a tiger muskellunge. Both of these are nonnative predatory fish. The difference is that they are considered tasty gamefish.
So the real story is this; there is a new predatory nonnative fish in the Potomac watershed and DNR expects that it will take hold. While it may present hazards to the balance of the ecosystem that is in place, it is important to realize that the natural ecosystem, as seen by John Smith, is long gone, and that many new species have been introduced, such as the walleye and the muskellunge. These two fish species were, in fact, introduced by DNR (the very people now worried about the snakehead fish) to improve sportfishing.
Kinda takes the wind out the snakehead's sails, doesn't it? But that is the actual, plain, unvarnished, unadulterated truth. The snakehead incursion will probably have an effect on the ecosystem. How large an effect, no one knows...introducing new species is risky for anyone, including the DNR.
The point is this; if the story is political or social, the press does a fair job of trying to ferret out the facts. When it comes to science, they just nod and report what they think they've heard, which can be quite a distance from what the scientist actually said at the press conference. In this increasingly technological age, we need better coverage of the sciences. Stupendous, earth-shaking discoveries require rigorous skepticism, not only from the scientific community, but from the press as well.
Scientists like to say that the more outrageous the claim is, the better the proof supporting it must be. The press must learn a similar mantra, the bigger the story, the more you have to investigate it, even if that means breaking out the high-school physics book.
